Fuzzy cognitive model of decision support at the stage of monitoring and risk management of software projects

Authors: Ehlakov Yu. P., Permyakova N. V.

Annotation: The article proposes a cognitive model to determine alternative solutions for the choice of significant risk-forming factors. The problem is presented in terms of fuzzy systems using the mathematical apparatus of fuzzy relational algebra. An algorithm for obtaining a set of alternative solutions to the problem is described, the results of an experimental study of the algorithm are given using the example of choosing critical factors when implementing a program to promote an electronic timetable service to the market. The solution obtained as a result of applying the algorithm reduced the number of risk-forming factors under consideration, which in turn will reduce the budget burden on the implementation of the promotion program.

Keywords: cognitive modeling, cognitive map, risk management, software projects