Methodology for analyzing and eliminating the causes of operational disruptions in a chemical industry holding

DOI: 10.21293/1818-0442-2025-28-4-95-103

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Abstract: The paper considers a methodology for analyzing and mitigat-ing the root causes of operational disruptions in production pro-cesses. The core of this methodology is the use of causal Bayes-ian networks (CBNs). The structural and logical framework of the methodology is presented, as well as its main stages. An algorithm is provided for constructing a CBN based on the anal-ysis of production processes within a chemical industry hold-ing. The paper offers recommendations for implementing the methodology to enhance production performance.

Keywords: production efficiency, chemical industry, auto-mated control system, super-active solutions, root causes

Funding: This work was supported by JSC Apatit as part of the research project "Research and Development of Models and Methods for Improving the Efficiency of Automated Control Systems for Chemical Industry Enterprises" (Project No. APT-390000091).

For citation:
Vivchar R. M., Kovalenko M. E., Dmitrienko D. S., Smirnov A. I., Cherkasov S. A., Zaytsev A. I., Kirichek R. V. Methodology for analyzing and eliminating the causes of operational disruptions in a chemical industry holding. Doklady Tomskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta sistem upravleniya i radioelektroniki, 2025, vol. 28, no. 4, pp. 95–103. DOI: 10.21293/1818-0442-2025-28-4-95-103

Authors and copyright holders:

  • Vivchar R. M. , St. Petersburg State University of Telecommunications named after Prof. M.A. Bonch-Bruevich (St. Petersburg, Russia)
  • Kovalenko M. E. , Tsifra LLC (Moscow, Russia)
  • Dmitrienko D. S. , Tsifra LLC (Moscow, Russia)
  • Smirnov A. I. , JSC Apatit (Cherepovets, Russia)
  • Cherkasov S. A. , JSC Apatit (Cherepovets, Russia)
  • Zaytsev A. I. , St. Petersburg State University of Telecommunications named after Prof. M.A. Bonch-Bruevich (St. Petersburg, Russia)
  • Kirichek R. V. , St. Petersburg State University of Telecommunications named after Prof. M.A. Bonch-Bruevich (St. Petersburg, Russia)

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