New challenges: stochastic threats to national security

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Authors: Popov K. V., Shelupanov A. A.

Annotation: The article is devoted to the analysis of the challenges that characterize the transformation of threats to the national security of the state. The types of stochastic threats to the country's security associated with globalization, information and transport accessibility, labor and educational migration are determined. Examples of occurrence of stochastic processes with predictable consequences are considered. Problems in the creation of research tools and services are identified.

Keywords: national security, security threats, transformation of risks, forecasting events, hatred, extremism, terrorism, research tools