Forecasting in the system of LAN monitoring

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Authors: Ishakov S. Yu., Shelupanov A. A., Timchenko S. V.

Annotation: Article describes use of a method of short-term forecasting for a solution of the problem of identification of failures in local computer networks (LAN). The description of realization of a Holt-Winters method is provided in one of components of developed system of monitoring of a LAN and recommendations about a choice of the factors influencing accuracy of forecasting of failures of system are offered.

Keywords: lan, monitoring, forecasting, trend, aberration